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With a lack of important announcements out of the EuroZone and the UK, we’ll be looking at US economic data releases for further clues into current market sentiment. We’ve mostly been consolidating within a large range and a breakout may be imminent. If that occurs, we are going to look for failure and as we mentioned last week, risk aversion to lead the way for a stronger dollar. The EU Bank Stress test didn’t have much of an impact as the banks in the spotlight passed and the general outlook remained neutral. We still think that risk aversion will return, it’s just a matter of time. N. Korea’s reaction to military exercises near the border will also be important. Any acts of war should help the dollar gain ground.Don’t forget, we will be hosting Live! Trading sessions this week. Premium members may access the direct link in the “Members Downloads” section. The room will be open 15 minutes prior to trading. If you’d like a more detailed analysis with potential trade opportunities during our live trading session, please join us in the member’s area.

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View an extract of the Webinar presented by Triffany Hammond, Founder at TrifFX, on FXstreet.com. This technical analysis technique starts with the Daily chart to help identify overall trend and behavior and then moves down to the 4 hour and 1 hour charts to identify significant areas of support and resistance. Full Webinar: transcripts.fxstreet.com

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Watch more free Elliott wave videos here: www.elliottwave.com The standard explanation mainstream financial analysts and some forex trading “experts” use when talking about a market move is, “The market did that because of such-and-such news report.” But if you’ve been forex trading long enough, you know that all too often, the market’s reaction to the news is the opposite of what it’s “supposed” to be. Watch Elliott Wave International’s Senior Forex Trading Strategist, Jim Martens, as he explains that it’s not the news that matters when you’re trading forex — it’s the market’s reaction to the news that does — in this 10-minute forex trading video using the US Dollar Index, Euro / Dollar and Dollar / Pound (cable) charts as examples. Watch more free Elliott wave videos here: www.elliottwave.com

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Greenback Slides to Rivals as Week Begins with Risk Appetite Monday – July 27th, 2009 Recap: The Euro rose overnight on German consumer confidence data while risk appetite was bolstered by a surprise surge in US new home sales. The greenback was generally lower except against the Yen. News Provided by CMS Forex www.cmsfx.com Newscaster Nick Nasad Open up a free practice account and start trading Forex today.

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Althougth initial 1.5470-1.5495 support has held on the first attempt, we suspect this decline is only the first leg of a more complex correction to the entire 1.4230 to 1.5995 rally. As this short term 1.5470 base holds this would allow for an erratic recovery over the next few days back to the 1.5750 to 1.5800 area. Upon completion of this short term upside reaction or with a direct loss of 1.5470 we would expect a much deeper corrction to the 50 percent target of 1.5125 and possibly even 1.4900 before the longer term uptrend resumes. Bearish stops on this second leg of downside correction can only be safely placed over the 1.5995 high.

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